Fundamental Analysis of the Forex Market FX Trade Method

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Forex Trading Lessons: A Must For Forex Beginners

Forex Trading Lessons: A Must For Forex Beginners
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Looking for someone to collaborate with in exploring some of the fundamental questions in algo trading in relation to quantitative analysis and the Forex market specifically.

I got interested in both algo trading and Forex about the same time. I figured that if I was going to trade in the Forex market or any market there after, I was going to use algorithms to do the trading for me. I wanted to minimize the "human factor" from the trading equation. With the research I have done so far, it seems that human psychology and its volatile nature can skew ones ability to make efficient and logical trades consistently. I wanted to free myself from that burden and focus on other areas, specifically in creating a system that would allow me to generate algorithms that are profitable more often then not.
Consistently generating strategies that are more profitable then not is no easy task. There are a lot of questions one must first answer (to a satisfactory degree) before venturing forward in to the unknown abyss, lest you waste lots of time and money mucking about in the wrong direction. These following questions are what I have been trying to answer because I believe the answers to them are vital in pointing me in the right direction when it comes to generating profitable strategies.
Can quantitative analysis of the Forex market give an edge to a retail trader?
Can a retail trader utilize said edge to make consistent profits, within the market?
Are these profits enough to make a full time living on?
But before we answer these questions, there are even more fundamental questions that need to be answered.
To what degree if any is back-testing useful in generating successful algo strategies?
Are the various validation testing procedures such as monte carlo validation, multi market analysis, OOS testing, etc... useful when trying to validate a strategy and its ability to survive and thrive in future unseen markets?
What are the various parameters that are most successful? Example... 10% OOS, 20% OOS, 50%......?
What indicators if any are most successful in helping generate profitable strategies?
What data horizons are best suited to generate most successful strategies?
What acceptance criteria correlate with future performance of a strategy? Win/loss ratios, max draw-down, max consecutive losses, R2, Sharpe.....?
What constitutes a successful strategy? Low decay period? High stability? Shows success immediately once live? What is its half life? At what point do you cut it loose and say the strategy is dead? Etc....
And many many more fundamental questions....
As you can see answering these questions will be no easy or fast task, there is a lot of research and data mining that will have to be done. I like to approach things from a purely scientific method, make no assumptions about anything and use a rigorous approach when testing, validating any and all conclusions. I like to see real data and correlations that are actually there before I start making assumptions.
The reason I am searching for these answers is because, they are simply not available out on the internet. I have read many research papers on-line, and articles on this or that about various topics related to Forex and quantitative analysis, but whatever information there is, its very sparse or very vague (and there is no shortage of disinformation out there). So, I have no choice but to answer these questions myself.
I have and will be spending considerable time on the endeavour, but I am also not delusional, there is only so much 1 man can do and achieve with the resources at his disposal. And at the end of the whole thing, I can at least say I gave it a good try. And along the way learn some very interesting things (already had a few eureka moments).
Mo workflow so far has consisted of using a specific (free) software package that generate strategies. You can either use it to auto generate strategies or create very specific rules yourself and create the strategies from scratch. I am not a coder so I find this tool quite useful. I mainly use this tool to do lots of hypothesis testing as I am capable of checking for any possible correlations in the markets very fast, and then test for the significance if any of said correlations.
Anyways who I am looking for? Well if you are the type of person that has free time on their hands, is keen on the scientific method and rigorous testing and retesting of various hypothesis, hit me up. You don't need to be a coder or have a PHD in statistics. Just someone who is interested in answering the same questions I am.
Whats the end goal? I want to answer enough of these questions with enough certainty, whereby I can generate profitable algo strategies consistently. OR, maybe the answer is that It cant be done by small fry such as a retail trader. And that answer would be just as satisfactory, because It could save me a lot more time and money down the road, because I could close off this particular road and look elsewhere to make money.
submitted by no_witty_username to Forex [link] [comments]

Looking for someone to collaborate with in exploring some of the fundamental questions in algo trading in relation to quantitative analysis and the Forex market specifically.

I got interested in both algo trading and Forex about the same time. I figured that if I was going to trade in the Forex market or any market there after, I was going to use algorithms to do the trading for me. I wanted to minimize the "human factor" from the trading equation. With the research I have done so far, it seems that human psychology and its volatile nature can skew ones ability to make efficient and logical trades consistently. I wanted to free myself from that burden and focus on other areas, specifically in creating a system that would allow me to generate algorithms that are profitable more often then not.
Consistently generating strategies that are more profitable then not is no easy task. There are a lot of questions one must first answer (to a satisfactory degree) before venturing forward in to the unknown abyss, lest you waste lots of time and money mucking about in the wrong direction. These following questions are what I have been trying to answer because I believe the answers to them are vital in pointing me in the right direction when it comes to generating profitable strategies.
Can quantitative analysis of the Forex market give an edge to a retail trader?
Can a retail trader utilize said edge to make consistent profits, within the market?
Are these profits enough to make a full time living on?
But before we answer these questions, there are even more fundamental questions that need to be answered.
To what degree if any is back-testing useful in generating successful algo strategies?
Are the various validation testing procedures such as monte carlo validation, multi market analysis, OOS testing, etc... useful when trying to validate a strategy and its ability to survive and thrive in future unseen markets?
What are the various parameters that are most successful? Example... 10% OOS, 20% OOS, 50%......?
What indicators if any are most successful in helping generate profitable strategies?
What data horizons are best suited to generate most successful strategies?
What acceptance criteria correlate with future performance of a strategy? Win/loss ratios, max draw-down, max consecutive losses, R2, Sharpe.....?
What constitutes a successful strategy? Low decay period? High stability? Shows success immediately once live? What is its half life? At what point do you cut it loose and say the strategy is dead? Etc....
And many many more fundamental questions....
As you can see answering these questions will be no easy or fast task, there is a lot of research and data mining that will have to be done. I like to approach things from a purely scientific method, make no assumptions about anything and use a rigorous approach when testing, validating any and all conclusions. I like to see real data and correlations that are actually there before I start making assumptions.
The reason I am searching for these answers is because, they are simply not available out on the internet. I have read many research papers on-line, and articles on this or that about various topics related to Forex and quantitative analysis, but whatever information there is, its very sparse or very vague (and there is no shortage of disinformation out there). So, I have no choice but to answer these questions myself.
I have and will be spending considerable time on the endeavour, but I am also not delusional, there is only so much 1 man can do and achieve with the resources at his disposal. And at the end of the whole thing, I can at least say I gave it a good try. And along the way learn some very interesting things (already had a few eureka moments).
Mo workflow so far has consisted of using a specific (free) software package that generate strategies. You can either use it to auto generate strategies or create very specific rules yourself and create the strategies from scratch. I am not a coder so I find this tool quite useful. I mainly use this tool to do lots of hypothesis testing as I am capable of checking for any possible correlations in the markets very fast, and then test for the significance if any of said correlations.
Anyways who I am looking for? Well if you are the type of person that has free time on their hands, is keen on the scientific method and rigorous testing and retesting of various hypothesis, hit me up. You don't need to be a coder or have a PHD in statistics. Just someone who is interested in answering the same questions I am.
Whats the end goal? I want to answer enough of these questions with enough certainty, whereby I can generate profitable algo strategies consistently. OR, maybe the answer is that It cant be done by small fry such as a retail trader. And that answer would be just as satisfactory, because It could save me a lot more time and money down the road, because I could close off this particular road and look elsewhere to make money.
submitted by no_witty_username to algotrading [link] [comments]

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@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

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@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

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@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

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@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

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submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals

@AlphaexCapital : Learning to trade the markets? Click here to learn how to master Fundamental Analysis for free => https://t.co/zhMqnqCo4W #forex #investing #bitcoin #crypto #xrp #btc #eth #forexsignals submitted by AlphaexCapital to AlphaexCapital [link] [comments]

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